Football Predictions

Brighton welcome Chelsea to the Amex Stadium on Tuesday evening for a Premier League encounter between two sides occupying the top half of the table. The hosts sit ninth while Chelsea are three places higher in sixth position as both teams look to strengthen their league standings with just five matches remaining in the campaign.

Recent form heavily favours the home side, with Brighton collecting 12 points from their last five games compared to Chelsea's meager return of three points over the same period. The Seagulls have managed four wins in that spell while the Blues have secured just one victory. Chelsea hold a slight edge in attacking output this season, averaging 1.70 goals per game to Brighton's 1.30, though both teams concede at similar rates. The head-to-head record from their last 10 meetings is perfectly balanced, with each side claiming five wins and no draws between them.

Our model backs Brighton to claim all three points at odds of 2.38, identifying a 6.5% value edge over the market price. The hosts' superior recent form and home advantage make them appealing despite Chelsea's marginally better seasonal numbers. Please gamble responsibly.